NHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
New York Islanders — Toronto Maple Leafs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
New York Islanders are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- New York Islanders are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.
Facts
- League table: New York Islanders — No. 21, 16 pts; Toronto Maple Leafs — No. 13, 18 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: New York Islanders 4 wins, Toronto Maple Leafs 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New York Islanders — Toronto Maple Leafs | 2.9–2.6 | |
| New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New York Islanders
- New York Islanders goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10Edmonton Oilers0:4
- 30.10away · Minnesota Wild4:3 OT
- 28.10away · Nashville Predators4:3 SO
- 26.10away · Dallas Stars3:6
- 23.10Los Angeles Kings2:3 OT
- 04.11Utah Mammoth2:3
- 01.11away · Vancouver Canucks4:2
- 29.10away · Seattle Kraken4:5
- 27.10away · Calgary Flames2:5
- 25.10away · Edmonton Oilers7:2
Head to head
- 18.10.2026Toronto Maple Leafs — New York Islanders1:4
- 01.10.2026Toronto Maple Leafs — New York Islanders2:1
- 10.04.2026New York Islanders — Toronto Maple Leafs5:3
- 18.03.2026Toronto Maple Leafs — New York Islanders1:3
- 04.01.2026New York Islanders — Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 20 | Washington Capitals | 14 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
| 21 | New York Islanders | 14 | 7 | +1 | 16 |
| 22 | St. Louis Blues | 15 | 7 | 0 | 15 |
NHL on the same day
- New Jersey DevilsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Montreal CanadiensLos Angeles Kingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Ottawa SenatorsCalgary Flamespreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Winnipeg JetsUtah Mammothpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- Seattle KrakenAnaheim Duckspreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.2
- San Jose SharksMinnesota Wildpreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:45.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →