NHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Ottawa Senators — Calgary Flames
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Ottawa Senators — No. 12, 19 pts; Calgary Flames — No. 25, 14 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Ottawa Senators 4 wins, Calgary Flames 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — Calgary Flames | 3.0–2.4 | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ottawa Senators
- Ottawa Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11away · Anaheim Ducks3:6
- 31.10away · San Jose Sharks5:1
- 30.10away · Los Angeles Kings5:6 OT
- 28.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 25.10New York Rangers7:4
- 03.11away · San Jose Sharks2:1
- 01.11away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 31.10Seattle Kraken6:2
- 29.10away · Edmonton Oilers0:4
- 27.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:2
Head to head
- 06.03.2026Calgary Flames — Ottawa Senators1:4
- 31.10.2025Ottawa Senators — Calgary Flames4:3 SO
- 20.12.2024Calgary Flames — Ottawa Senators2:3 OT
- 26.11.2024Ottawa Senators — Calgary Flames4:3
- 10.01.2024Calgary Flames — Ottawa Senators6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Dallas Stars | 15 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 16 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 25 | Calgary Flames | 15 | 7 | -15 | 14 |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets | 16 | 5 | -19 | 13 |
NHL on the same day
- New Jersey DevilsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Montreal CanadiensLos Angeles Kingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- New York IslandersToronto Maple Leafspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Winnipeg JetsUtah Mammothpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- Seattle KrakenAnaheim Duckspreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.2
- San Jose SharksMinnesota Wildpreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:45.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →