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NHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

San Jose Sharks — Minnesota Wild

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Model prediction for 24 November

San Jose Sharks27%
Draw in regulation22%
Minnesota Wild51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minnesota Wild are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: San Jose Sharks — No. 24, 15 pts; Minnesota Wild — No. 3, 25 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Jose Sharks 3 wins, Minnesota Wild 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Minnesota Wild2.4–3.1
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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Form

San Jose Sharks

  • 03.11Calgary Flames1:2
  • 31.10Ottawa Senators1:5
  • 30.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 28.10Buffalo Sabres0:2
  • 25.10away · Boston Bruins4:6

Minnesota Wild

  • 04.11away · Philadelphia Flyers4:2
  • 01.11away · Washington Capitals5:1
  • 30.10New York Islanders3:4 OT
  • 28.10away · Utah Mammoth3:1
  • 26.10away · Vancouver Canucks4:2

Head to head

  • 01.01.2026San Jose Sharks — Minnesota Wild4:3 SO
  • 12.11.2025Minnesota Wild — San Jose Sharks1:2 OT
  • 27.10.2025Minnesota Wild — San Jose Sharks5:6 OT
  • 10.04.2025Minnesota Wild — San Jose Sharks8:7 OT
  • 12.01.2025San Jose Sharks — Minnesota Wild1:3

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers16113267–48+1925
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild17113356–38+1825
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins16111458–38+2023
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315
24San Jose Sharks1671842–54-1215
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →