Neman Grodno — Baranavichy
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Neman Grodno are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Neman Grodno are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- Neman Grodno: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Neman Grodno 4 wins, Baranavichy 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Neman Grodno — Baranavichy | 2.7–2.2 | |
| Neman Grodno to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Neman Grodno
- Neman Grodno goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha1:0
- 09.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha3:2 OT
- 06.10Novopolotsk4:1
- 04.10Novopolotsk4:1
- 29.09away · Brest2:4
- 15.10away · Lida3:1
- 11.10Vitebsk3:5
- 09.10Vitebsk4:2
- 05.10away · Soligorsk5:4
- 03.10away · Soligorsk2:4
Head to head
- 11.02.2026Baranavichy — Neman Grodno2:3
- 09.02.2026Baranavichy — Neman Grodno3:2 SO
- 06.11.2025Neman Grodno — Baranavichy3:2
- 04.11.2025Neman Grodno — Baranavichy5:3
- 13.02.2025Neman Grodno — Baranavichy3:2
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- BrestMogilevpreliminary79211The model's most likely outcome: 116%Model's score: 5:26.0
- GomelYunost Minskpreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9
- LidaSoligorskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →