Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Neman Grodno — Baranavichy

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Model prediction for 4 November

Neman Grodno47%
Draw in regulation22%
Baranavichy31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Neman Grodno are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Neman Grodno are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • Neman Grodno: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Neman Grodno 4 wins, Baranavichy 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Neman Grodno — Baranavichy2.7–2.2
Neman Grodno to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Neman Grodno
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Form

Neman Grodno

  • 11.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha1:0
  • 09.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha3:2 OT
  • 06.10Novopolotsk4:1
  • 04.10Novopolotsk4:1
  • 29.09away · Brest2:4

Baranavichy

  • 15.10away · Lida3:1
  • 11.10Vitebsk3:5
  • 09.10Vitebsk4:2
  • 05.10away · Soligorsk5:4
  • 03.10away · Soligorsk2:4

Head to head

  • 11.02.2026Baranavichy — Neman Grodno2:3
  • 09.02.2026Baranavichy — Neman Grodno3:2 SO
  • 06.11.2025Neman Grodno — Baranavichy3:2
  • 04.11.2025Neman Grodno — Baranavichy5:3
  • 13.02.2025Neman Grodno — Baranavichy3:2

Full record: 8 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • BrestMogilevpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 116%Model's score: 5:26.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • LidaSoligorskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →