NHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

New Jersey Devils — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction for 4 November

New Jersey Devils35%
Draw in regulation23%
Edmonton Oilers42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Edmonton Oilers are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 3.0.

Facts

  • League table: New Jersey Devils — No. 18, 8 pts; Edmonton Oilers — No. 5, 11 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Edmonton Oilers: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: New Jersey Devils 4 wins, Edmonton Oilers 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — Edmonton Oilers2.8–3.0
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)59%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)41%

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Form

New Jersey Devils

  • 16.10New York Rangers7:1
  • 14.10away · Detroit Red Wings5:4 OT
  • 13.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 10.10Vancouver Canucks4:1
  • 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5

Edmonton Oilers

  • 14.10away · Los Angeles Kings4:1
  • 10.10away · San Jose Sharks3:1
  • 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
  • 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
  • 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7

Head to head

  • 21.01.2026Edmonton Oilers — New Jersey Devils1:2
  • 18.10.2025New Jersey Devils — Edmonton Oilers5:3
  • 14.03.2025New Jersey Devils — Edmonton Oilers3:2
  • 05.11.2024Edmonton Oilers — New Jersey Devils0:3
  • 22.12.2023New Jersey Devils — Edmonton Oilers3:6

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators860223–20+312
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken851232–23+911
17Toronto Maple Leafs832328–2808
18New Jersey Devils740323–2308
19Pittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →