Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha

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Model prediction for 3 November

Novopolotsk44%
Draw in regulation22%
Lokomotiv Orsha35%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Novopolotsk are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Novopolotsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha2.8–2.5
Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Lokomotiv Orsha to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Novopolotsk
  • Novopolotsk goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Novopolotsk

  • 11.10Molodechno2:3
  • 09.10Molodechno1:6
  • 06.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 04.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 29.09Gomel3:1

Lokomotiv Orsha

  • 11.10Neman Grodno0:1
  • 09.10Neman Grodno2:3 OT
  • 05.10away · Gomel2:5
  • 03.10away · Gomel3:4
  • 29.09Lida5:4 SO

Head to head

  • 30.11.2025Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha8:2
  • 28.11.2025Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha4:3 OT
  • 14.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Novopolotsk3:2
  • 12.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Novopolotsk0:3
  • 05.03.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Novopolotsk4:1

Full record: 48 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
  • ZhlobinVitebskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →