Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Novopolotsk are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Novopolotsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha | 2.8–2.5 | |
| Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Lokomotiv Orsha to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Novopolotsk
- Novopolotsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Molodechno2:3
- 09.10Molodechno1:6
- 06.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
- 04.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
- 29.09Gomel3:1
- 11.10Neman Grodno0:1
- 09.10Neman Grodno2:3 OT
- 05.10away · Gomel2:5
- 03.10away · Gomel3:4
- 29.09Lida5:4 SO
Head to head
- 30.11.2025Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha8:2
- 28.11.2025Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha4:3 OT
- 14.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Novopolotsk3:2
- 12.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Novopolotsk0:3
- 05.03.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Novopolotsk4:1
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- MolodechnoSlavutychpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
- ZhlobinVitebskpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →