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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha

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Model prediction for 5 November

Novopolotsk41%
Draw in regulation22%
Lokomotiv Orsha37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Novopolotsk 52%, Lokomotiv Orsha 48% including overtime.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.

Facts

  • Novopolotsk: 5 defeats in a row; Lokomotiv Orsha: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Novopolotsk 3 wins, Lokomotiv Orsha 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha2.6–2.6
Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Lokomotiv Orsha to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Novopolotsk
  • Novopolotsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Novopolotsk

  • 15.10away · Brest0:3
  • 11.10Molodechno2:3
  • 09.10Molodechno1:6
  • 06.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 04.10away · Neman Grodno1:4

Lokomotiv Orsha

  • 11.10Neman Grodno0:1
  • 09.10Neman Grodno2:3 OT
  • 05.10away · Gomel2:5
  • 03.10away · Gomel3:4
  • 29.09Lida5:4 SO

Head to head

  • 30.11.2025Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha8:2
  • 28.11.2025Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha4:3 OT
  • 14.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Novopolotsk3:2
  • 12.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Novopolotsk0:3
  • 05.03.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Novopolotsk4:1

Full record: 48 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • MolodechnoSlavutychpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • ZhlobinVitebskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →