KHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Novosibirsk — Bars Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bars Kazan are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Bars Kazan are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Novosibirsk — No. 15, 15 pts; Bars Kazan — No. 14, 15 pts.
- Novosibirsk: 3 wins in a row; Bars Kazan: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Novosibirsk 2 wins, Bars Kazan 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Novosibirsk — Bars Kazan | 2.0–2.5 | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Novosibirsk
- Novosibirsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 14.10away · Salavat Ufa4:2
- 12.10away · Barys Astana3:2
- 10.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 07.10Salavat Ufa4:5 OT
- 04.10away · Niznekamsk2:3
- 12.10Sochi2:3
- 10.10Cherepovets1:4
- 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
- 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
- 30.09Barys Astana4:1
Head to head
- 24.09.2026Novosibirsk — Bars Kazan2:3 SO
- 05.09.2026Bars Kazan — Novosibirsk4:3 SO
- 07.03.2026Bars Kazan — Novosibirsk6:3
- 02.02.2026Novosibirsk — Bars Kazan3:2 SO
- 24.01.2026Bars Kazan — Novosibirsk2:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 6 | -8 | 17 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Novosibirsk | 16 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 14 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Tractor ChelyabinskBarys Astanapreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Salavat UfaLadapreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
- Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →