VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk

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Model prediction for 4 November

Omskie Krylia50%
Draw in regulation21%
Chelmet Chelyabinsk28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Omskie Krylia are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Omskie Krylia — No. 6, 20 pts; Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 8 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
  • Omskie Krylia: 3 wins in a row; Chelmet Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Omskie Krylia 4 wins, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2.9–2.3
Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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Form

Omskie Krylia

  • 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
  • 11.10Dizel3:2
  • 09.10Tambov5:1
  • 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
  • 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3

Chelmet Chelyabinsk

  • 14.10away · AKM2:4
  • 12.10away · Ryazan0:8
  • 04.10Bars3:4
  • 02.10Almetyevsk4:2
  • 30.09CSK VVS4:5 OT

Head to head

  • 03.04.2026Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:2 OT
  • 01.04.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Omskie Krylia4:5 OT
  • 29.03.2026Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 27.03.2026Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk7:2
  • 24.03.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Omskie Krylia4:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk1593330–18+1221
6, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia13100337–19+1820
7, PlayoffsHC Norilsk1592435–33+220
29Krasnoyarsk15401123–42-198
30Chelmet Chelyabinsk1232722–48-268

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →