Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Omskie Krylia are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Omskie Krylia — No. 6, 20 pts; Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 8 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Omskie Krylia: 3 wins in a row; Chelmet Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Omskie Krylia 4 wins, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 2.9–2.3 | |
| Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Omskie Krylia
- Omskie Krylia goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
- 11.10Dizel3:2
- 09.10Tambov5:1
- 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3
- 14.10away · AKM2:4
- 12.10away · Ryazan0:8
- 04.10Bars3:4
- 02.10Almetyevsk4:2
- 30.09CSK VVS4:5 OT
Head to head
- 03.04.2026Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:2 OT
- 01.04.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Omskie Krylia4:5 OT
- 29.03.2026Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1
- 27.03.2026Omskie Krylia — Chelmet Chelyabinsk7:2
- 24.03.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Omskie Krylia4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 15 | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 6, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 7, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 15 | 4 | -19 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | -26 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- Metallurg NovokuznetskKhimikpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- KrasnoyarskZvezda Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- KurganMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
- Buran VoronezhToros Neftekamskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- KalugaBarspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →