AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Rochester Americans — Cleveland Monsters
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rochester Americans are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Rochester Americans are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Rochester Americans — No. 13, 5 pts; Cleveland Monsters — No. 9, 6 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Cleveland Monsters: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Rochester Americans 2 wins, Cleveland Monsters 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rochester Americans — Cleveland Monsters | 3.0–2.8 | |
| Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Cleveland Monsters to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rochester Americans
- Rochester Americans goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 11.10away · Utica Comets1:2
- 10.10Syracuse Crunch7:1
- 04.10away · Belleville Senators2:3 SO
- 03.10Toronto Marlies3:1
- 26.04away · Toronto Marlies2:4
- 11.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2
- 11.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:4 OT
- 04.10Grand Rapids Griffins5:4 OT
- 03.10Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
- 24.05Toronto Marlies2:3
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Rochester Americans — Cleveland Monsters1:2
- 07.04.2026Cleveland Monsters — Rochester Americans3:4 SO
- 26.02.2026Cleveland Monsters — Rochester Americans4:2
- 25.01.2026Rochester Americans — Cleveland Monsters1:2
- 30.12.2025Cleveland Monsters — Rochester Americans3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hershey Bears | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 10 | Ontario Reign | 4 | 3 | -1 | 6 | .750 |
| 12 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 4 | 2 | +8 | 5 | .625 |
| 13 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 14 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
AHL on the same day
- Grand Rapids GriffinsTexas Starspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Hamilton HammersToronto Marliespreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.2
- Hershey BearsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- Laval RocketLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsColorado Eaglespreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Ontario ReignSan Jose Barracudapreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Iowa WildRockford IceHogspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →