VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Rubin Tyumen — Orsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rubin Tyumen are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 22%.
Why
- Rubin Tyumen are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubin Tyumen — Orsk | 2.2–1.6 | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 22% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 78% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rubin Tyumen
- Rubin Tyumen goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Tambov3:2 OT
- 11.10Buran Voronezh4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Omskie Krylia3:4
- 01.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
- 27.09HC Yugra4:3
- 12.10away · Kaluga2:1 SO
- 10.10away · AKM0:3
- 08.10away · Ryazan3:2 OT
- 30.09Bars4:0
- 28.09Almetyevsk2:1
Head to head
- 14.01.2026Rubin Tyumen — Orsk6:1
- 03.11.2025Orsk — Rubin Tyumen1:2 OT
- 28.01.2025Rubin Tyumen — Orsk1:0
- 23.10.2024Orsk — Rubin Tyumen3:2 SO
- 08.02.2024Orsk — Rubin Tyumen2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
VHL on the same day
- HC NorilskDinamo St. Petersburgpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Kristall SaratovOlympiapreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- TambovIzhevskpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
- RyazanAlmetyevskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →