VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 3 November, 19:00 MSK

Ryazan — Almetyevsk

Model prediction for 3 November

Ryazan33%

Draw in regulation23%

Almetyevsk44%

Model estimate at 09:18 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Almetyevsk are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ryazan — Almetyevsk		2.1–2.5
Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)		43%
Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)		57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Ryazan
Ryazan goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Ryazan

12.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk8:0
10.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
08.10Orsk2:3 OT
03.10away · Perm0:1
01.10away · Toros Neftekamsk0:3

Almetyevsk

12.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2
10.10Zvezda Moscow3:5
08.10Khimik3:2
04.10away · Gornyak2:1 SO
02.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:4

Head to head

19.04.2026Almetyevsk — Ryazan7:2
16.04.2026Ryazan — Almetyevsk1:2
14.04.2026Ryazan — Almetyevsk3:4
11.04.2026Almetyevsk — Ryazan4:3
09.04.2026Almetyevsk — Ryazan4:5

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs	Almetyevsk	15	11	0	4	44–30	+14	22
2, Playoffs	Buran Voronezh	14	10	2	2	31–22	+9	22
17	Toros Neftekamsk	13	6	2	5	30–31	-1	14
18	Ryazan	15	5	4	6	30–32	-2	14
19	Rubin Tyumen	12	7	0	5	29–32	-3	14

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

15:00
HC NorilskDinamo St. Petersburgpreliminary
4555
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
15:00
Rubin TyumenOrskpreliminary
6436
1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
17:30
Kristall SaratovOlympiapreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
18:30
TambovIzhevskpreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →