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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Ryazan — CSK VVS

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Model prediction for 5 November

Ryazan49%
Draw in regulation23%
CSK VVS28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ryazan are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • Ryazan are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Ryazan — No. 14, 16 pts; CSK VVS — No. 28, 9 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Ryazan: 3 wins in a row; CSK VVS: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Ryazan 2 wins, CSK VVS 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ryazan — CSK VVS2.5–1.9
Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
CSK VVS to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Ryazan
  • Ryazan goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Ryazan

  • 14.10Gornyak5:3
  • 12.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk8:0
  • 10.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
  • 08.10Orsk2:3 OT
  • 03.10away · Perm0:1

CSK VVS

  • 12.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:5
  • 10.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:5
  • 08.10Zvezda Moscow2:3
  • 06.10Khimik2:8
  • 02.10away · Gornyak2:5

Head to head

  • 28.01.2026CSK VVS — Ryazan3:5
  • 19.10.2025Ryazan — CSK VVS0:4
  • 22.12.2024CSK VVS — Ryazan5:2
  • 20.11.2024Ryazan — CSK VVS2:1 OT
  • 11.12.2023Ryazan — CSK VVS1:2 OT

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, PlayoffsKristall Saratov1381435–43-817
14, PlayoffsRyazan1664635–35016
15, PlayoffsTambov1472535–40-516
27Kurgan1334621–37-1610
28CSK VVS16411131–56-259
29Krasnoyarsk15401123–42-198

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • HC NorilskSKA-VMF St. Petersburgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • HC YugraOrskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:13.7
  • AKMAlmetyevskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • DizelIzhevskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →