KHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Salavat Ufa — Lada
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Salavat Ufa are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Salavat Ufa are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Salavat Ufa — No. 12, 17 pts; Lada — No. 21, 8 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Salavat Ufa 3 wins, Lada 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Lada | 3.1–1.9 | |
| Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 72% | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 28% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Salavat Ufa
- Salavat Ufa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Novosibirsk2:4
- 12.10Niznekamsk4:3
- 09.10away · Magnitogorsk1:7
- 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
- 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
- 15.10SKA St. Petersburg1:0
- 12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
- 05.10Shanghai0:5
- 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
Head to head
- 15.01.2026Lada — Salavat Ufa2:5
- 10.11.2025Salavat Ufa — Lada3:5
- 25.02.2025Salavat Ufa — Lada3:2
- 19.02.2025Lada — Salavat Ufa3:0
- 21.11.2024Lada — Salavat Ufa1:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 15 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 16 | 8 | -3 | 17 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 6 | -8 | 17 |
| 20 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 21 | Lada | 16 | 2 | -34 | 8 |
| 22 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- NovosibirskBars Kazanpreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- Tractor ChelyabinskBarys Astanapreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →