NHL · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 3 November

San Jose Sharks39%
Draw in regulation23%
Calgary Flames37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: San Jose Sharks 51%, Calgary Flames 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames2.8–2.7
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap San Jose Sharks
  • San Jose Sharks goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

San Jose Sharks

  • 14.10Boston Bruins3:6
  • 10.10Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
  • 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
  • 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT

Calgary Flames

  • 14.10away · Anaheim Ducks4:2
  • 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
  • 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
  • 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
  • 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4

Head to head

  • 27.02.2026San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames1:4
  • 01.02.2026Calgary Flames — San Jose Sharks3:2
  • 17.12.2025San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames6:3
  • 14.11.2025Calgary Flames — San Jose Sharks2:0
  • 14.04.2025Calgary Flames — San Jose Sharks5:2

Full record: 22 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
24San Jose Sharks630316–23-76
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102
32Calgary Flames610512–29-172

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →