Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Seattle Kraken are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Seattle Kraken are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Seattle Kraken — No. 6, 11 pts; Calgary Flames — No. 32, 2 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Seattle Kraken 4 wins, Calgary Flames 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames | 2.9–2.5 | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Seattle Kraken
- Seattle Kraken goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 16.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning3:4 OT
- 14.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 SO
- 12.10away · Washington Capitals5:3
- 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
- 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 14.10away · Anaheim Ducks4:2
- 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
- 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
- 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
- 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4
Head to head
- 05.10.2026Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames6:1
- 02.10.2026Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:6
- 12.04.2026Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames4:1
- 06.01.2026Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:5
- 19.12.2025Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 8 | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 8 | 5 | +9 | 11 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 7 | 5 | +9 | 11 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Buffalo SabresOttawa Senatorspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Florida PanthersChicago Blackhawkspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Los Angeles KingsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →