NHL · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames

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Model prediction for 5 November

Seattle Kraken46%
Draw in regulation23%
Calgary Flames31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Seattle Kraken are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Seattle Kraken are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Seattle Kraken — No. 6, 11 pts; Calgary Flames — No. 32, 2 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Seattle Kraken 4 wins, Calgary Flames 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames2.9–2.5
Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Seattle Kraken

  • 16.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning3:4 OT
  • 14.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 SO
  • 12.10away · Washington Capitals5:3
  • 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
  • 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6

Calgary Flames

  • 14.10away · Anaheim Ducks4:2
  • 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
  • 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
  • 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
  • 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4

Head to head

  • 05.10.2026Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames6:1
  • 02.10.2026Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:6
  • 12.04.2026Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames4:1
  • 06.01.2026Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:5
  • 19.12.2025Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken4:2

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators860223–20+312
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken851232–23+911
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers751131–22+911
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102
32Calgary Flames610512–29-172

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →