NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Seattle Kraken — Minnesota Wild

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Model prediction for 25 October

Seattle Kraken35%
Draw in regulation23%
Minnesota Wild42%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minnesota Wild are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Seattle Kraken — Minnesota Wild2.6–2.9
Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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Form

Seattle Kraken

  • 14.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 SO
  • 12.10away · Washington Capitals5:3
  • 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
  • 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
  • 05.10Calgary Flames6:1

Minnesota Wild

  • 14.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:5
  • 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
  • 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
  • 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
  • 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 08.04.2026Minnesota Wild — Seattle Kraken5:2
  • 09.01.2026Seattle Kraken — Minnesota Wild2:3 OT
  • 09.12.2025Seattle Kraken — Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 20.03.2025Minnesota Wild — Seattle Kraken4:0
  • 05.03.2025Seattle Kraken — Minnesota Wild3:4

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins750226–16+1010
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →