NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Seattle Kraken — Utah Mammoth

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Model prediction for 23 October

Seattle Kraken34%
Draw in regulation23%
Utah Mammoth43%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Utah Mammoth are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Utah Mammoth are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Seattle Kraken — Utah Mammoth2.6–2.9
Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Seattle Kraken

  • 14.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 SO
  • 12.10away · Washington Capitals5:3
  • 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
  • 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
  • 05.10Calgary Flames6:1

Utah Mammoth

  • 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
  • 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
  • 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
  • 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
  • 04.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets4:1

Head to head

  • 03.04.2026Seattle Kraken — Utah Mammoth2:6
  • 18.01.2026Utah Mammoth — Seattle Kraken6:3
  • 13.12.2025Utah Mammoth — Seattle Kraken5:3
  • 09.04.2025Utah Mammoth — Seattle Kraken7:1
  • 15.03.2025Seattle Kraken — Utah Mammoth4:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights750225–18+710
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth640222–15+78
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins640220–13+78

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →