Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 10 October, 20:45 MSK · Patinoire des Vernets

Servette — Davos

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Model prediction and result

3:2Came true

Servette43%

Draw in regulation22%

Davos35%

Model estimate at 20:04 MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Servette to win (54% incl. overtime), came true.

Servette are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.
Davos: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Servette — Davos		2.7–2.5
Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout)		54%
Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout)		46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Servette
Servette goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Servette

04.10Zug2:1
02.10away · Bern3:2 SO
30.09away · Lausanne5:6 SO
29.09EHC Kloten4:0
27.09away · Biel2:0

Davos

09.10EHC Kloten1:4
03.10away · Biel3:4
02.10Ajoie3:1
29.09away · Ambri-Piotta3:0
26.09Lausanne4:2

Head to head

03.12.2025Davos — Servette6:2
29.11.2025Servette — Davos3:2 OT
28.10.2025Servette — Davos7:0
27.09.2025Davos — Servette3:2 SO
30.01.2025Davos — Servette3:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Zurich	10	7	3	0	0	42–24	+18	27
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Servette	11	5	2	2	2	33–29	+4	21
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Langnau Tigers	11	5	1	2	3	41–34	+7	19
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Zug	7	4	0	1	2	25–15	+10	13
11	Davos	11	4	0	1	6	27–31	-4	13
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

20:45
ServetteLangnau Tigers16 October · National League
5941
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
20:45
LuganoDavos16 October · National League
5347
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1

National League on the same day

20:45
AjoieLangnau Tigers
3862
2The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%Final score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.2
20:45
Ambri-PiottaBern
5050
2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 1:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
20:45
BielLugano
5446
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
20:45
Rapperswil-JonaLausanne
5149
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:2.5.4
20:45
ZurichFribourg
6139
1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →