Swiss National League (hockey) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Servette — Zurich

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Model prediction for 25 October

Servette36%
Draw in regulation23%
Zurich42%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zurich are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Servette — Zurich2.4–2.5
Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Zurich to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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Form

Servette

  • 10.10Davos3:2
  • 04.10Zug2:1
  • 02.10away · Bern3:2 SO
  • 30.09away · Lausanne5:6 SO
  • 29.09EHC Kloten4:0

Zurich

  • 10.10Fribourg5:4 OT
  • 09.10away · Lugano3:2 OT
  • 03.10Lausanne3:2 OT
  • 29.09Biel6:3
  • 26.09EHC Kloten3:2

Head to head

  • 19.09.2026Zurich — Servette3:0
  • 28.02.2026Zurich — Servette2:3
  • 02.01.2026Servette — Zurich5:3
  • 22.11.2025Servette — Zurich4:1
  • 20.09.2025Zurich — Servette2:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZurich10730042–24+1827
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette11522233–29+421
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers11512341–34+719

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • BernLuganopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →