KHL · Tuesday, 3 November, 19:30 MSK

Shanghai — Cherepovets

Model prediction for 3 November

Shanghai32%

Draw in regulation22%

Cherepovets46%

Model estimate at 05:06 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cherepovets are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

Cherepovets are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Shanghai — Cherepovets		2.4–2.8
Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout)		41%
Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout)		59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Shanghai
Shanghai goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Shanghai

12.10Dinamo Minsk2:3
07.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2
05.10away · Lada5:0
03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT
30.09Magnitogorsk4:1

Cherepovets

13.10SKA St. Petersburg2:0
10.10away · Bars Kazan4:1
08.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2
06.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:2
03.10Shanghai2:1 OT

Head to head

03.10.2026Cherepovets — Shanghai2:1 OT
12.02.2026Shanghai — Cherepovets2:3
08.11.2025Shanghai — Cherepovets2:4
01.11.2025Cherepovets — Shanghai3:6
26.10.2025Cherepovets — Shanghai4:1

Full record: 31 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	14	11	0	3	38–23	+15	22
4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Cherepovets	15	9	2	4	35–31	+4	20
5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Nizhny Novgorod	14	9	1	4	40–25	+15	19
6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Niznekamsk	15	8	2	5	47–38	+9	18
7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Shanghai	12	8	1	3	36–29	+7	17
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	SKA St. Petersburg	14	8	1	5	47–44	+3	17

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

17:00
MagnitogorskCSKA Moscowpreliminary
5743
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
19:30
SochiNiznekamskpreliminary
3664
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →