KHL · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Shanghai — Dynamo Moscow

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Model prediction for 5 November

Shanghai33%
Draw in regulation22%
Dynamo Moscow45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dynamo Moscow are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

  • Dynamo Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Shanghai — No. 9, 17 pts; Dynamo Moscow — No. 17, 14 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Shanghai 2 wins, Dynamo Moscow 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Shanghai — Dynamo Moscow2.3–2.6
Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)60%

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Form

Shanghai

  • 14.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:6
  • 12.10Dinamo Minsk2:3
  • 07.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2
  • 05.10away · Lada5:0
  • 03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT

Dynamo Moscow

  • 14.10away · CSKA Moscow0:1
  • 11.10SKA St. Petersburg4:3 OT
  • 09.10CSKA Moscow2:5
  • 07.10Shanghai2:3
  • 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO

Head to head

  • 07.10.2026Dynamo Moscow — Shanghai2:3
  • 11.03.2026Dynamo Moscow — Shanghai4:2
  • 10.11.2025Dynamo Moscow — Shanghai1:4
  • 28.10.2025Shanghai — Dynamo Moscow1:5
  • 16.10.2025Shanghai — Dynamo Moscow2:3 SO

Full record: 31 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSpartak Moscow1582538–29+918
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceShanghai1381438–35+317
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSKA St. Petersburg1581647–45+217
16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg1462635–36-114
17Dynamo Moscow1762933–47-1414
18Vladivostok1453635–39-413

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →