KHL · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Sochi — Niznekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Niznekamsk are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Niznekamsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochi — Niznekamsk | 2.1–2.7 | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sochi
- Sochi goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 09.10Spartak Moscow0:2
- 07.10Spartak Moscow2:5
- 03.10Nizhny Novgorod0:6
- 30.09Salavat Ufa6:3
- 12.10away · Salavat Ufa3:4
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
Head to head
- 08.09.2026Niznekamsk — Sochi5:1
- 12.02.2026Niznekamsk — Sochi3:5
- 03.01.2026Sochi — Niznekamsk2:1
- 11.02.2025Sochi — Niznekamsk3:2 OT
- 24.10.2024Niznekamsk — Sochi2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- MagnitogorskCSKA Moscowpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- ShanghaiCherepovetspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →