Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Soligorsk — Vitebsk

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Model prediction for 23 October

Soligorsk56%
Draw in regulation20%
Vitebsk23%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Soligorsk are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Soligorsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Soligorsk — Vitebsk3.0–2.0
Soligorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Vitebsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Soligorsk
  • Soligorsk goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Soligorsk

  • 12.10away · Yunost Minsk7:1
  • 10.10away · Yunost Minsk6:4
  • 05.10Baranavichy4:5
  • 03.10Baranavichy4:2
  • 30.09away · Slavutych1:5

Vitebsk

  • 11.10away · Baranavichy5:3
  • 09.10away · Baranavichy2:4
  • 05.10away · Slavutych3:4
  • 03.10away · Slavutych3:6
  • 30.09away · Mogilev2:0

Head to head

  • 07.01.2026Soligorsk — Vitebsk2:4
  • 05.01.2026Soligorsk — Vitebsk3:4 OT
  • 08.10.2025Vitebsk — Soligorsk1:3
  • 06.10.2025Vitebsk — Soligorsk2:3
  • 07.02.2025Vitebsk — Soligorsk2:1 OT

Full record: 32 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 2:45.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 115%Model's score: 4:15.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →