VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 3 November, 18:30 MSK

Tambov — Izhevsk

Model prediction for 3 November

Tambov46%

Draw in regulation22%

Izhevsk32%

Model estimate at 09:18 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tambov are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

Tambov are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tambov — Izhevsk		2.7–2.3
Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout)		58%
Izhevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)		42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Tambov
Tambov goals
Overtime chance
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Form

Tambov

13.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:3 OT
11.10away · Kurgan3:0
09.10away · Omskie Krylia1:5
03.10Dyn. Altay2:0
01.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:0

Izhevsk

13.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 SO
11.10away · Krasnoyarsk2:3
08.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
03.10Kaluga1:3
01.10AKM4:3 OT

Head to head

10.01.2026Tambov — Izhevsk2:1
10.11.2025Izhevsk — Tambov1:2
20.02.2025Tambov — Izhevsk5:4 SO
30.09.2024Izhevsk — Tambov1:7
31.01.2024Izhevsk — Tambov2:4

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
11, Playoffs	Perm	12	8	0	4	30–23	+7	16
12, Playoffs	Tambov	13	7	2	4	34–34	0	16
13, Playoffs	Gornyak	10	7	1	2	29–18	+11	15
27	CSK VVS	16	4	1	11	31–56	-25	9
28	Izhevsk	13	3	2	8	29–40	-11	8
29	Krasnoyarsk	14	4	0	10	23–36	-13	8

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

15:00
HC NorilskDinamo St. Petersburgpreliminary
4555
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
15:00
Rubin TyumenOrskpreliminary
6436
1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
17:30
Kristall SaratovOlympiapreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
19:00
RyazanAlmetyevskpreliminary
4357
2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →