Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Sunday, 25 October, 15:00 MSK

Torpedo — Aktobe

Model prediction for 25 October

Torpedo89%

Draw in regulation7%

Aktobe4%

Model estimate at 20:53 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Torpedo are clear favourites: 95% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 6.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 69%.

Why

Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 5.2 expected goals against 1.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Torpedo — Aktobe		5.2–1.5
Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout)		95%
Aktobe to win (incl. OT and shootout)		5%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		69%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		31%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Torpedo
Torpedo goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Torpedo

12.10Pavlodar8:0
11.10Pavlodar13:0
07.10Nomad Astana2:3 SO
06.10Nomad Astana2:3 OT
02.10away · Beibarys Atyrau9:2

Aktobe

13.10Beibarys Atyrau2:1
12.10Beibarys Atyrau2:1
08.10away · Pavlodar6:0
07.10away · Pavlodar5:2
03.10away · Gornyak Rudny1:7

Head to head

28.09.2026Aktobe — Torpedo2:6
27.09.2026Aktobe — Torpedo1:9
03.02.2026Torpedo — Aktobe5:1
02.02.2026Torpedo — Aktobe6:2
15.12.2025Torpedo — Aktobe3:2

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs	Nomad Astana	18	16	2	0	83–36	+47	34
2, Playoffs	Torpedo	18	13	2	3	88–36	+52	28
3, Playoffs	Kokshetau	18	13	1	4	64–43	+21	27
7, Playoffs	Almaty	18	9	0	9	49–57	-8	18
8, Playoffs	Aktobe	18	4	1	13	45–83	-38	9
9	Beibarys Atyrau	18	3	2	13	38–59	-21	8

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

15:00
Gornyak RudnyNomad Astanapreliminary
3862
2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.9
15:00
KaragandaBeibarys Atyraupreliminary
8416
1The model's most likely outcome: 115%Model's score: 4:15.7
15:00
KokshetauAlmatypreliminary
7822
1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 89% will not happen in roughly 11 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →