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Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Boris Alexandrov Sports Palace

Torpedo — Pavlodar

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Model prediction and result

13:0Came true
Torpedo99%
Draw in regulation0%
Pavlodar0%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 13:0: the model's most likely outcome, Torpedo to win (100% incl. overtime), came true.

Torpedo are clear favourites: 100% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 10.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 95%.

Why

  • Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 9.0 expected goals against 1.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Torpedo — Pavlodar8.9–1.1
Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout)100%
Pavlodar to win (incl. OT and shootout)0%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)95%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)5%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Torpedo
  • Torpedo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Torpedo

  • 07.10Nomad Astana2:3 SO
  • 06.10Nomad Astana2:3 OT
  • 02.10away · Beibarys Atyrau9:2
  • 01.10away · Beibarys Atyrau4:3
  • 28.09away · Aktobe6:2

Pavlodar

  • 08.10Aktobe0:6
  • 07.10Aktobe2:5
  • 02.10away · Karaganda0:9
  • 01.10away · Karaganda0:8
  • 28.09away · Kokshetau3:5

Head to head

  • 30.01.2026Pavlodar — Torpedo1:16
  • 29.01.2026Pavlodar — Torpedo0:9
  • 23.12.2025Pavlodar — Torpedo0:8
  • 22.12.2025Pavlodar — Torpedo0:7
  • 21.09.2025Torpedo — Pavlodar12:1

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsNomad Astana18162083–36+4734
2, PlayoffsTorpedo18132388–36+5228
3, PlayoffsKokshetau18131464–43+2127
9Beibarys Atyrau18321338–59-218
10Pavlodar18011719–140-1211

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next match

  • TorpedoPavlodar12 October · Kazakhstan Championship
    1The most likely outcome came true: 10%Final score 8:0. Model's score: 12:1.10.2

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

  • AlmatyGornyak Rudny
    2The most likely outcome came true: 220%Final score 0:3. Model's score: 2:4.5.7
  • KokshetauNomad Astana
    2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 2:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
  • KulagerKaraganda
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%Final score 2:1 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:4.5.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 99% will not happen in roughly 1 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →