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Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Boris Alexandrov Sports Palace

Torpedo — Pavlodar

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Model prediction and result

8:0Came true
Torpedo100%
Draw in regulation0%
Pavlodar0%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 8:0: the model's most likely outcome, Torpedo to win (100% incl. overtime), came true.

Torpedo are clear favourites: 100% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 10.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 95%.

Why

  • Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 9.2 expected goals against 1.0.
  • Torpedo: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Torpedo — Pavlodar9.2–1.0
Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout)100%
Pavlodar to win (incl. OT and shootout)0%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)95%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)5%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Torpedo
  • Torpedo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Torpedo

  • 11.10Pavlodar13:0
  • 07.10Nomad Astana2:3 SO
  • 06.10Nomad Astana2:3 OT
  • 02.10away · Beibarys Atyrau9:2
  • 01.10away · Beibarys Atyrau4:3

Pavlodar

  • 11.10away · Torpedo0:13
  • 08.10Aktobe0:6
  • 07.10Aktobe2:5
  • 02.10away · Karaganda0:9
  • 01.10away · Karaganda0:8

Head to head

  • 11.10.2026Torpedo — Pavlodar13:0
  • 30.01.2026Pavlodar — Torpedo1:16
  • 29.01.2026Pavlodar — Torpedo0:9
  • 23.12.2025Pavlodar — Torpedo0:8
  • 22.12.2025Pavlodar — Torpedo0:7

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsNomad Astana18162083–36+4734
2, PlayoffsTorpedo18132388–36+5228
3, PlayoffsKokshetau18131464–43+2127
9Beibarys Atyrau18321338–59-218
10Pavlodar18011719–140-1211

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next match

  • PavlodarTorpedo15 October · Kazakhstan Championship
    2The model's most likely outcome: 21%Model's score: 1:89.4

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

  • AktobeBeibarys Atyrau
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:4.5.6
  • AlmatyGornyak Rudny
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 220%Final score 5:2. Model's score: 2:4.5.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 100% will not happen in roughly 0 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →