KHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Tractor Chelyabinsk — Barys Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tractor Chelyabinsk are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Tractor Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 19, 12 pts; Barys Astana — No. 6, 18 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Tractor Chelyabinsk 4 wins, Barys Astana 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tractor Chelyabinsk — Barys Astana | 3.1–2.2 | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tractor Chelyabinsk
- Tractor Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Shanghai6:2
- 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
- 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
- 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
- 02.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 14.10Yekaterinburg4:1
- 12.10Novosibirsk2:3
- 10.10Avangard Omsk5:1
- 04.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 02.10away · Niznekamsk5:4 OT
Head to head
- 23.12.2025Barys Astana — Tractor Chelyabinsk0:2
- 31.10.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Barys Astana6:3
- 09.10.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Barys Astana3:2 OT
- 07.09.2025Barys Astana — Tractor Chelyabinsk4:3 OT
- 02.03.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Barys Astana8:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 15 | 9 | +17 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 18 | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 14 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 20 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- NovosibirskBars Kazanpreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- Salavat UfaLadapreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
- Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →