KHL · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Traktor Arena
Tractor Chelyabinsk — Khabarovsk
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0:2Missed
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (66% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 66% fails in about 34 matches out of 100 on average.
Tractor Chelyabinsk are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Tractor Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tractor Chelyabinsk — Khabarovsk | 2.8–2.0 | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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- Tractor Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
- 02.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 30.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
- 28.09away · Dynamo Moscow2:1 OT
- 25.09SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 06.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 04.10away · Yekaterinburg3:0
- 02.10away · Yekaterinburg0:3
- 29.09Niznekamsk1:0
- 25.09Lokomotiv Yaroslavl3:1
Head to head
- 06.10.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Khabarovsk1:2
- 11.02.2026Khabarovsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk5:6
- 09.01.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Khabarovsk4:2
- 20.11.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Khabarovsk4:6
- 11.11.2025Khabarovsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 15 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
Next matches
- Tractor ChelyabinskNovosibirsk10 October · KHL69311The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
- KhabarovskLada12 October · KHL59411The most likely outcome came true: 122%1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
KHL on the same day
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 120%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:2, exactly right.5.6
- 57431The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.1
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 222%0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:3.4.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →