NHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Utah Mammoth — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction for 18 October

Utah Mammoth41%
Draw in regulation23%
Edmonton Oilers36%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Close to a coin flip: Utah Mammoth 53%, Edmonton Oilers 47% including overtime.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 2.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utah Mammoth — Edmonton Oilers3.1–2.9
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)62%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)38%

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Form

Utah Mammoth

  • 14.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
  • 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
  • 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
  • 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
  • 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4

Edmonton Oilers

  • 14.10away · Los Angeles Kings4:1
  • 10.10away · San Jose Sharks3:1
  • 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
  • 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
  • 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7

Head to head

  • 08.04.2026Utah Mammoth — Edmonton Oilers6:5 OT
  • 25.03.2026Utah Mammoth — Edmonton Oilers2:5
  • 29.10.2025Edmonton Oilers — Utah Mammoth6:3
  • 19.03.2025Edmonton Oilers — Utah Mammoth7:1
  • 01.01.2025Edmonton Oilers — Utah Mammoth4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →