NHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Vegas Golden Knights — Pittsburgh Penguins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Vegas Golden Knights are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 65%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights — Pittsburgh Penguins | 3.5–2.7 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 65% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Nashville Predators5:2
- 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
- 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
- 14.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:5
- 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
- 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
- 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
- 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
Head to head
- 13.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Pittsburgh Penguins6:2
- 01.03.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Vegas Golden Knights5:0
- 12.03.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Vegas Golden Knights3:2 OT
- 08.03.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Pittsburgh Penguins4:0
- 21.01.2024Vegas Golden Knights — Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- 34662The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.4
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:44.9
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →