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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Vitkovice — Kometa Brno

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Model prediction for 23 October

Vitkovice38%
Draw in regulation22%
Kometa Brno40%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Vitkovice 48%, Kometa Brno 52% including overtime.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vitkovice — Kometa Brno2.6–2.7
Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vitkovice
  • Vitkovice goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Vitkovice

  • 11.10away · Sparta Prague0:3
  • 09.10Pardubice2:3
  • 04.10away · Mountfield HK2:3 OT
  • 02.10Karlovy Vary0:3
  • 29.09away · Olomouc4:3

Kometa Brno

  • 11.10Plzen1:2 OT
  • 08.10away · Sparta Prague4:3 OT
  • 05.10away · Ceske Budejovice1:5
  • 02.10Mlada Boleslav3:2 SO
  • 27.09Pardubice3:5

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Vitkovice — Kometa Brno2:3 OT
  • 07.12.2025Vitkovice — Kometa Brno4:3
  • 24.10.2025Kometa Brno — Vitkovice4:1
  • 16.09.2025Kometa Brno — Vitkovice5:2
  • 25.02.2025Kometa Brno — Vitkovice5:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov10311524–28-412
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno9221425–28-311
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc10110818–36-185

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • TrinecCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • LitvinovPlzenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.3
  • KladnoPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
  • LiberecSparta Praguepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
  • Mountfield HKKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →