KHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Vladivostok — SKA St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
SKA St. Petersburg are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- SKA St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Vladivostok — No. 18, 13 pts; SKA St. Petersburg — No. 10, 17 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- SKA St. Petersburg: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Vladivostok 1 win, SKA St. Petersburg 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vladivostok — SKA St. Petersburg | 2.5–2.8 | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vladivostok
- Vladivostok goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Lada4:3 OT
- 07.10away · Magnitogorsk0:3
- 05.10away · Magnitogorsk5:2
- 03.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:6 SO
- 01.10away · Cherepovets4:3 SO
- 15.10away · Lada0:1
- 13.10away · Cherepovets0:2
- 11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
- 08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
- 06.10Cherepovets2:5
Head to head
- 03.10.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Vladivostok6:5 SO
- 24.02.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Vladivostok4:2
- 04.12.2025Vladivostok — SKA St. Petersburg1:3
- 21.12.2024SKA St. Petersburg — Vladivostok3:2 OT
- 28.11.2024Vladivostok — SKA St. Petersburg3:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 13 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 15 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 15 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 17 | Dynamo Moscow | 17 | 6 | -14 | 14 |
| 18 | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 14 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskBars Kazanpreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- Tractor ChelyabinskBarys Astanapreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Salavat UfaLadapreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
- Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →