KHL · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Yekaterinburg — Magnitogorsk

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Model prediction for 31 October

Yekaterinburg34%
Draw in regulation23%
Magnitogorsk44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Magnitogorsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Yekaterinburg — Magnitogorsk2.3–2.5
Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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Form

Yekaterinburg

  • 06.10Avangard Omsk4:0
  • 04.10Khabarovsk0:3
  • 02.10Khabarovsk3:0
  • 30.09Lada3:1
  • 26.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2

Magnitogorsk

  • 12.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2 OT
  • 09.10Salavat Ufa7:1
  • 07.10Vladivostok3:0
  • 05.10Vladivostok2:5
  • 02.10away · Spartak Moscow2:0

Head to head

  • 16.03.2026Magnitogorsk — Yekaterinburg4:3
  • 06.03.2026Magnitogorsk — Yekaterinburg1:3
  • 15.02.2026Yekaterinburg — Magnitogorsk8:1
  • 10.02.2026Magnitogorsk — Yekaterinburg4:1
  • 03.12.2025Yekaterinburg — Magnitogorsk5:6

Full record: 75 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceMagnitogorsk16121351–30+2125
2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCSKA Moscow14110349–27+2222
14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan1571734–35-115
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg1362534–32+214
16Dynamo Moscow1662833–46-1314

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →