Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Zhlobin — Vitebsk

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Model prediction for 5 November

Zhlobin56%
Draw in regulation21%
Vitebsk23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zhlobin are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • Zhlobin are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • Zhlobin: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Zhlobin 3 wins, Vitebsk 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zhlobin — Vitebsk2.8–1.8
Zhlobin to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Vitebsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Zhlobin
  • Zhlobin goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Zhlobin

  • 12.10away · Brest3:2
  • 10.10away · Brest4:1
  • 04.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
  • 03.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
  • 29.09away · Molodechno0:3

Vitebsk

  • 15.10Yunost Minsk0:2
  • 11.10away · Baranavichy5:3
  • 09.10away · Baranavichy2:4
  • 05.10away · Slavutych3:4
  • 03.10away · Slavutych3:6

Head to head

  • 24.03.2026Zhlobin — Vitebsk3:1
  • 22.03.2026Vitebsk — Zhlobin0:6
  • 20.03.2026Zhlobin — Vitebsk1:3
  • 18.03.2026Zhlobin — Vitebsk4:2
  • 16.03.2026Vitebsk — Zhlobin4:2

Full record: 36 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →