Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Cerundolo J. M. — Mejia N.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Cerundolo J. M.71%
Mejia N.29%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Cerundolo J. M. to win (71%), came true.

Cerundolo J. M. are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Cerundolo J. M. 1552, Mejia N. 1425.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Cerundolo J. M. games
  • Mejia N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Cerundolo J. M.

  • 30.09Bu Y.1:2
  • 26.09Davidovich Fokina A.0:2
  • 24.09Zhou Y.2:0

Mejia N.

  • 06.10Zheng M.2:0
  • 05.10Tseng C. H.1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Cerundolo J. M.Alcaraz C.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →