PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Davidovich Fokina A. — Berrettini M.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Davidovich Fokina A.61%
Berrettini M.39%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Davidovich Fokina A. to win (61%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 61% fails in about 39 matches out of 100 on average.

Davidovich Fokina A. are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Davidovich Fokina A. 1748, Berrettini M. 1706.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Davidovich Fokina A. games
  • Berrettini M. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Davidovich Fokina A.

  • 29.09Hurkacz H.2:0
  • 28.09Basilashvili N.2:1
  • 27.09Muller A.2:0
  • 26.09Cerundolo J. M.2:0

Berrettini M.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Berrettini M.Vallejo D.3 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Davidovich Fokina A.Brooksby J.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • Faria J.Fery A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • Darderi L.Ruud C.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Nakashima B.Humbert U.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • Fritz T.Munar J.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • De Minaur A.Navone M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Etcheverry T. M.Tsitsipas S.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Rune H.Jacquet K.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Van De Zandschulp B.Cerundolo F.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.25.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →