Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Davidovich Fokina A. — Brooksby J.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Davidovich Fokina A.62%
Brooksby J.38%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Davidovich Fokina A. to win (62%), came true.

Davidovich Fokina A. are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 54%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Davidovich Fokina A. 1708, Brooksby J. 1610.

Probabilities

Games over 21.554%
Games under 21.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Davidovich Fokina A. games
  • Brooksby J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Davidovich Fokina A.

  • 01.10Berrettini M.1:2
  • 29.09Hurkacz H.2:0
  • 28.09Basilashvili N.2:1
  • 27.09Muller A.2:0
  • 26.09Cerundolo J. M.2:0

Brooksby J.

  • 08.10Munar J.2:0
  • 27.09Basilashvili N.0:2
  • 25.09Sonego L.2:1
  • 23.09Baez S.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Davidovich Fokina A.Tiafoe F.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →