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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3)

Fery A. — Musetti L.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Fery A.35%
Musetti L.65%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Musetti L. to win (65%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 65% fails in about 35 matches out of 100 on average.

Musetti L. are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fery A. 1565, Musetti L. 1757.

Facts

  • Musetti L.: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.550%
Games under 22.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fery A. games
  • Musetti L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fery A.

  • 26.10Fearnley J.0:0
  • 20.10Gojo B.0:2
  • 09.10Khachanov K.1:2
  • 07.10Cilic M.2:0
  • 01.10Faria J.1:2

Musetti L.

  • 28.10Tiafoe F.2:0
  • 25.10Fritz T.2:0
  • 24.10Cobolli F.2:1
  • 23.10van Assche L.2:1
  • 21.10Kouame M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zverev A.Fery A.30 October · ATP · Vienna
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Musetti L.Hurkacz H.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • Vacherot V.Jodar R.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Paul T.Darderi L.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Norrie C.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Michelsen A.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Basilashvili N.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • Altmaier D.Lehecka J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Fritz T.Shapovalov D.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Zverev A.Griekspoor T.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →