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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3)

Norrie C. — Medvedev D.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Norrie C.21%
Medvedev D.79%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Medvedev D. to win (79%), came true.

Medvedev D. are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Norrie C. 1655, Medvedev D. 1839.

Facts

  • Medvedev D.: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.548%
Games under 21.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Norrie C. games
  • Medvedev D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Norrie C.

  • 27.10Cerundolo F.2:0
  • 20.10Bonzi B.1:2
  • 08.10Svrcina D.1:2
  • 01.10Zverev A.0:2

Medvedev D.

  • 28.10Merida Aguilar D.2:0
  • 25.10Basilashvili N.2:1
  • 24.10Bublik A.1:0
  • 23.10Atmane T.2:0
  • 22.10Shimabukuro S.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Mannarino A.Medvedev D.30 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Norrie C.Arnaldi M.2 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Vacherot V.Jodar R.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Paul T.Darderi L.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Michelsen A.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Basilashvili N.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • Fery A.Musetti L.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Altmaier D.Lehecka J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Fritz T.Shapovalov D.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Zverev A.Griekspoor T.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →