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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3)

Vacherot V. — Jodar R.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Vacherot V.31%
Jodar R.69%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Jodar R. to win (69%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 69% fails in about 31 matches out of 100 on average.

Jodar R. are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Vacherot V. 1664, Jodar R. 1779.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Vacherot V. games
  • Jodar R. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Vacherot V.

  • 26.10Navone M.2:0
  • 22.10van Assche L.1:2
  • 12.10Paul T.0:2
  • 10.10Baez S.2:0
  • 05.10Lehecka J.0:2

Jodar R.

  • 27.10Tabilo A.2:0
  • 18.10Davidovich Fokina A.1:2
  • 17.10Medvedev D.2:0
  • 16.10Ruud C.2:1
  • 14.10Van De Zandschulp B.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Rune H.Vacherot V.30 October · ATP · Basel
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Tabilo A.Jodar R.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • Paul T.Darderi L.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Norrie C.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Michelsen A.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Basilashvili N.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • Fery A.Musetti L.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Altmaier D.Lehecka J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Fritz T.Shapovalov D.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Zverev A.Griekspoor T.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →