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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3)

Fritz T. — Shapovalov D.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Fritz T.64%
Shapovalov D.36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Fritz T. to win (64%), came true.

Fritz T. are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fritz T. 1791, Shapovalov D. 1671.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fritz T. games
  • Shapovalov D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fritz T.

  • 28.10Hijikata R.2:0
  • 25.10Musetti L.0:2
  • 24.10Paul T.2:0
  • 23.10Altmaier D.2:0
  • 22.10Herbert P.2:0

Shapovalov D.

  • 28.10Bertola R.2:0
  • 04.10Alcaraz C.0:1
  • 03.10Tabilo A.2:1
  • 01.10Shimabukuro S.2:0
  • 28.09Hurkacz H.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Fritz T.Fils A.30 October · ATP · Basel
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Shapovalov D.Khachanov K.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →