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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3)

Basilashvili N. — Alcaraz C.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Basilashvili N.8%
Alcaraz C.92%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Alcaraz C. to win (92%), came true.

Alcaraz C. are clear favourites: 92% against 8% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Basilashvili N. 1555, Alcaraz C. 2018.

Probabilities

Games over 19.552%
Games under 19.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Basilashvili N. games
  • Alcaraz C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Basilashvili N.

  • 28.10Rodionov J.2:0
  • 25.10Medvedev D.1:2
  • 24.10Tsitsipas S.2:1
  • 23.10Mannarino A.2:0
  • 21.10Diaz Acosta F.2:0

Alcaraz C.

  • 27.10Khachanov K.2:0
  • 12.10Bergs Z.0:2
  • 10.10Cerundolo J. M.2:0
  • 06.10Lehecka J.2:0
  • 05.10Munar J.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Paul T.Alcaraz C.30 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 92% will not happen in roughly 8 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →