Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Harris B. — Svrcina D.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Harris B.35%
Svrcina D.65%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Svrcina D. to win (65%), came true.

Svrcina D. are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Harris B. 1450, Svrcina D. 1499.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Harris B. games
  • Svrcina D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Harris B.

No past matches in the data yet.

Svrcina D.

  • 24.09Hijikata R.0:2
  • 23.09Noguchi R.2:0
  • 22.09Sekulic P.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Nishioka Y.Svrcina D.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →