Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Jovic I. — Dart H.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Jovic I.84%
Dart H.16%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Jovic I. to win (84%), came true.

Jovic I. are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Jovic I. 1793, Dart H. 1507.

Probabilities

Games over 19.548%
Games under 19.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Jovic I. games
  • Dart H. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Jovic I.

No past matches in the data yet.

Dart H.

  • 01.10Qu Y.2:1
  • 29.09Ma Y.2:0
  • 28.09Lemaitre T.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Jovic I.Rakhimova K.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →