Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, hard · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK

Kasatkina D. — Ostapenko J.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Kasatkina D.38%
Ostapenko J.62%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Ostapenko J. to win (62%), came true.

Ostapenko J. are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Kasatkina D. 1620, Ostapenko J. 1686.

Probabilities

Games over 21.551%
Games under 21.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Kasatkina D. games
  • Ostapenko J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Kasatkina D.

  • 11.10Sorribes Tormo S.2:1
  • 10.10Golubic V.2:1
  • 01.10Badosa P.1:2
  • 21.09Sasnovich A.0:2

Ostapenko J.

  • 05.10Mertens E.1:2
  • 03.10Badosa P.2:0
  • 24.09Preston T.0:2
  • 22.09Zakharova A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Ostapenko J.Pegula J.14 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:220.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →