Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Lehecka J. — Vacherot V.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Lehecka J.56%
Vacherot V.44%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Lehecka J. to win (56%), came true.

Lehecka J. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 22.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Lehecka J. 1749, Vacherot V. 1684.

Probabilities

Games over 22.550%
Games under 22.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Lehecka J. games
  • Vacherot V. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Lehecka J.

  • 04.10Vallejo D.2:0
  • 03.10Humbert U.2:1
  • 01.10Bergs Z.2:1

Vacherot V.

  • 04.10Fils A.2:1
  • 02.10Tsitsipas S.2:1
  • 30.09Blockx A.2:0
  • 26.09Harris L.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Alcaraz C.Lehecka J.6 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Baez S.Vacherot V.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →