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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Tien L. — De Minaur A.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Tien L.47%
De Minaur A.53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, De Minaur A. to win (53%), came true.

Evenly matched: Tien L. 47%, De Minaur A. 53%.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Tien L. 1733, De Minaur A. 1793.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Tien L. games
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Tien L.

  • 26.10van Assche L.2:0
  • 12.10Ruud C.0:2
  • 10.10Svajda Z.2:0
  • 01.10Hurkacz H.1:2

De Minaur A.

  • 26.10Machac T.2:1
  • 15.10Zverev A.0:2
  • 13.10Khachanov K.2:0
  • 11.10Sakamoto R.2:0
  • 06.10Djokovic N.0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Berrettini M.De Minaur A.30 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Vallejo D.Tien L.3 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hanfmann Y.Struff J-L.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • Griekspoor T.Nakashima B.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • Merida Aguilar D.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Bertola R.Shapovalov D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Borges N.Ruud C.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Musetti L.Tiafoe F.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Djokovic N.Humbert U.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Mensik J.Mannarino A.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →