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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Medvedev D. — Alcaraz C.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Medvedev D.30%
Alcaraz C.70%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Alcaraz C. to win (70%), came true.

Alcaraz C. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Medvedev D. 1844, Alcaraz C. 2021.

Facts

  • Medvedev D.: 5 wins in a row; Alcaraz C.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Medvedev D. games
  • Alcaraz C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Medvedev D.

  • 30.10Mannarino A.2:0
  • 29.10Norrie C.2:1
  • 28.10Merida Aguilar D.2:0
  • 25.10Basilashvili N.2:1
  • 24.10Bublik A.1:0

Alcaraz C.

  • 30.10Paul T.2:0
  • 29.10Basilashvili N.2:0
  • 27.10Khachanov K.2:0
  • 12.10Bergs Z.0:2
  • 10.10Cerundolo J. M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • De Minaur A.Alcaraz C.1 November · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Buse I.Medvedev D.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:220.5

ATP on the same day

  • Carreno-Busta P.Bellucci M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Faria J.Hijikata R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Tirante T. A.Svajda Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Gaston H.Kopriva V.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Duckworth J.Kecmanovic M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Machac T.Landaluce M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kovacevic A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Griekspoor T.Bonzi B.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →